**** Info via Environment Canada
Tropical Cyclone Information Statement – Update
For Tropical Storm Nicole.
Tropical Storm Nicole (near hurricane-strength at the time of this bulletin) is heading toward Florida and likely will landfall as a category-one hurricane early tomorrow. Nicole will then turn northward travelling over land (Georgia, The Carolinas) while merging with a cold front and becoming post tropical. The combined weather system is expected to track through New England early Saturday and into the Maritimes Saturday evening.
Since the storm is expected to transition to ‘post-tropical’ well to our south, it will essentially be an autumn type storm while impacting Eastern Canada. Heavy rain will spread well north of the low’s track as far north and west as Lake Erie and Lake Ontario then into southern Quebec. Rain and wind is expected over the Maritime provinces with very mild, tropical temperatures and gusty winds south of the track and cold northeasterly winds north of it. This frontal low will likely track somewhere through New Brunswick. Parts of central and eastern Quebec and eventually Newfoundlland could even see some snow, so this will clearly be a non-tropical storm and this bulletin is in effect for the ‘tropical side’ of the system.
Rainfall could be in the 50 to 100 mm range along and north of the track. We do not anticipate very strong winds – but there will be two windy parts of the low both north and south – perhaps gusting in the neighborhood of 70 km/h in some areas. Details will appear in local forecasts from the regional weather offices starting tomorrow night. Elevated water levels and wave activity is likely in the northern Gulf of St Lawrence affecting northeastern New Brunswick and the Gaspe region that could cause some minor flooding so we will monitor and provide details later.
The CHC will continue to track this system with once-a-day updates but we will not be issuing a specific track forecast.
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